ENGLEWOOD CLIFFS, N.J., April 22, 2020 – CNBC and Change Research today announced the results of their latest joint “States of Play” poll, conducted April 17 – April 18th.
CNBC and Change Research polled over 5,700 anticipated general election voters from six major battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin), as well as over 1,100 anticipated general election voters nationally, to determine economic sentiment amongst voters. The poll, taken over a month after the federal coronavirus shutdown was initially enacted, shows serious concerns about the virus are beginning to fall. While three-quarters of voters are still seriously concerned by the outbreak and a plurality still say things are getting worse, this is down since the last CNBC/Change Research poll taken at the beginning of April 2020, and results are no longer bipartisan.
Key findings from the CNBC/Change Research “States of Play” poll conducted April 17-18, 2020 include:
- Voters in battleground states seem to have passed “peak health concern.” While health is still ranking as the top concern, results have softened since the last CNBC/Change Research poll taken two weeks ago, parallel to a marked increase in concern about the state of the U.S. economy and job market. Meanwhile, the only measurement that voters in battleground states claimed increased optimism in is the state of the stock market, where positive assessments have rebounded from 27% to 34% over the past two weeks.
- The majority of voters in battleground states are willing to go to great lengths to get back to work and open public spaces, including widespread and regular testing, monitoring, and mask-wearing. Still, the majority draw the line at sharing personal data via their phone in order to conduct contact tracing, and less than half are willing to share personal medical data, like a negative test result, as a condition of entering some public spaces.
- National unity against the pandemic has become a partisan fight. Voters in battleground states’ responses regarding who they trust for information, who they think is being too aggressive (or not aggressive enough), and even which measures they approve of, all varied based on political leaning. For example, NIH Director Dr. Anthony Fauci, who had a 90% approval rating in the most recent CNBC/Change Research poll taken just two weeks earlier, dropped over 20 points total, with the biggest drop seen among right-leaning respondents.
- Gearing up for the 2020 general elections, President Trump’s approval and disapproval numbers are nearly split, with 49% of respondents in battleground states stating approval and 51% stating disapproval. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden is neck and neck with the President, with 48% of respondents in battleground states stating approval and 47% stating disapproval. In almost every category, the two are tied: who would handle the virus better, who would handle the economy better, who would handle the stock market better, and who would handle health care better.
CNBC Washington D.C. Correspondents Eamon Javers and Kayla Tausche will reveal the results of the CNBC/Change Research “States of Play Poll” today, Wednesday, April 22nd throughout CNBC’s Business Day programming. For more information on the survey including the full results and methodology and in-depth articles, go to: www.changeresearch.com/post/states-of-play-battleground-wave-3.
Methodology:
Between April 17-18, 2020, Change Research surveyed 1,178 likely general election voters nationally and 5,787 likely general election voters in the battleground states of Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. The margin of error as traditionally calculated among the national sample is ±2.86% and among the battleground sample is ±1.29%. Change Research reaches voters via targeted online ads that point people to an online survey instrument. Its Dynamic Online Sampling establishes and continuously rebalances advertising targets across region, age, gender, race, and partisanship to dynamically deliver large samples that accurately reflect the demographics of a population. In the national survey, post-stratification was done on gender, age, region, education, race, and 2016 presidential vote. In the survey of battleground states, post-stratification was done on state, gender, age, race, education, and 2016 presidential vote.
For additional methodological information, visit https://www.changeresearch.com/methodology-and-accuracy.
For more information contact:
CNBC
Jennifer Dauble
201-735-4721
Change Research
About CNBC:
With CNBC in the U.S., CNBC in Asia Pacific, CNBC in Europe, Middle East and Africa, and CNBC World, CNBC is the recognized world leader in business news and provides real-time financial market coverage and business information to 410 million homes worldwide, including more than 90 million households in the United States and Canada. CNBC also provides daily business updates to 400 million households across China. The network’s 15 live hours a day of business programming in North America (weekdays from 4:00 a.m. – 7:00 p.m. ET) is produced at CNBC’s global headquarters in Englewood Cliffs, N.J., and includes reports from CNBC News bureaus worldwide. CNBC at night features a mix of new reality programming, CNBC’s highly successful series produced exclusively for CNBC and a number of distinctive in-house documentaries.
CNBC Digital delivers more than 55 million U.S. multi-platform unique visitors each month. CNBC.com provides real-time financial market news and information to CNBC’s investor audience. CNBC Make It is a digital destination focused on making you smarter about how you earn, save and spend your money by zeroing in on careers, leadership, entrepreneurship and personal finance.
CNBC has a vast portfolio of digital products, offering CNBC content to a variety of platforms such as: CNBC.com; CNBC PRO, a premium service that provides in-depth access to Wall Street; a suite of CNBC mobile apps for iOS and Android devices; Amazon Alexa, Google Assistant and Apple Siri voice interfaces; and streaming services including Apple TV, Roku, Amazon Fire TV, Android TV and Samsung Smart TVs. To learn more, visit https://www.cnbc.com/digital-products/.
Members of the media can receive more information about CNBC and its programming on the NBCUniversal Media Village Web site at http://www.nbcumv.com/programming/cnbc. For more information about NBCUniversal, please visit http://www.NBCUniversal.com.
About Change Research:
Change Research provides fast, affordable, and accurate technology-based polling across the country. Since launching in July of 2017, Change Research has conducted over 1,000 polls for candidates, media, and causes at all levels and budgets, surveying nearly 2 million people.
Learn more at www.changeresearch.com and find some of our recent public poll results on Twitter @changepolls.
